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IS IT OROMIA OR ETHIOPIA OUT TO INVADE SOMALIA AND ANNEX SOMALI PORTS?

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  It is easy and quite natural to get upset with the latest provocations emanating from Addis Ababa. And the temptation to scramble for an immediate, gut-level response or scream is real, even irresistible.  However, it’s equally important to be clear-eyed about who are the culprits behind the provocations and the real intentions and motivations stirring them. A dispassionate, clinical diagnosis and forensic investigation and a calibrated strategic response is imperative. My unsolicited advice to the FGS and free Somalis is  1) Do not panic. Don’t rush to take a bait.  2) Ethiopia is no more. Tigray, Amhara anda much of Oromia are ravaged by war, insurgences, famine, and mass slaughter. Genocide looms large.  3) Strategize and quietly mobilize to isolate and expose the paranoid and genocidally inclined cabal of chauvanists and war criminals for who truly they are. Don’t throw them a life line by gracing them with sovereign agency and legitimate authority.  4) Presidents and senior exec